Future Nuclear Reactors simplify to improve Reliability

WSJ has an article about future nuclear reactors.

The New Nukes

The next generation of nuclear reactors is on its way, and supporters say they will be safer, cheaper and more efficient than current plants. Here's a look at what's coming -- and when.

By REBECCA SMITH

If there ever were a time that seemed ripe for nuclear energy, it's now.

For the first time in decades, popular opinion is on the industry's side. A majority of Americans thinks nuclear power, which emits virtually no carbon dioxide, is a safe and effective way to battle climate change, according to recent polls. At the same time, legislators are showing renewed interest in nuclear as they hunt for ways to slash greenhouse-gas emissions.

[NEWNUKE]

There are interesting points made that forward thinkers like Mike Manos have said as a path for future data centers.

"A common theme of future reactors is to make them simpler so there are fewer systems to monitor and fewer systems that could fail," says Revis James, director of the Energy Technology Assessment Center at the Electric Power Research Institute, an independent power-industry research organization.

And, a specific example is discussed of simplification.

The current generation of nuclear plants requires a complex maze of redundant motors, pumps, valves and control systems to deal with emergency conditions. Generation III plants cut down on some of that infrastructure and rely more heavily on passive systems that don't need human intervention to keep the reactor in a safe condition—reducing the chance of an accident caused by operator error or equipment failure.

For example, the Westinghouse AP1000 boasts half as many safety-related valves, one-third fewer pumps and only one-fifth as much safety-related piping as earlier plants from Westinghouse, majority owned by Toshiba Corp. In an emergency, the reactor, which has been selected for use at Southern Co.'s Vogtle site in Georgia and at six other U.S. locations, is designed to shut down automatically and stay within a safe temperature range.

The reactor's passive designs take advantage of laws of nature, such as the pull of gravity. So, for example, emergency coolant is kept at a higher elevation than the reactor pressure vessel. If sensors detect a dangerously low level of coolant in the reactor core, valves open and coolant floods the reactor core. In older reactors, emergency flooding comes from a network of pumps—which require redundant systems and backup sources of power—and may also require operator action.

Gallup has a public opinion poll.

[MOREnukes]

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eBay’s Data Center Team Cross Pollinates, Recruits Sun’ Dean Nelson to Join

Cross Pollination is proven as effective method to adapt to change.

Cross pollination introduces the plant to different genes which causes the plant to be able to deal with weather changes easier. Also, with cross pollination the plant is more likely to not be extinct because if one plant dies because of the weather or predators the new genes make it possible that the plant can still survive


eBay was able to use this strategy in its data center group and recruited Sun’s Dean Nelson.

Data Center Pulse Founder Dean Nelson to

Lead eBay’s Global Data Center Strategy, Architecture and Operations

San Jose, Calif.—September 9, 2009— eBay today significantly strengthened the leadership of its data center operations, appointing veteran industry thought leader Dean Nelson as its senior director of global data center strategy, architecture and operations.

Dean brings not only his experience and relationship with Sun’s data center teams, but also the Data Center Pulse organization.

Nelson is the founder of Data Center Pulse, an exclusive group of more than 1,100 global datacenter owners, operators and users in 41 countries that influence the industry from the perspective of the end user.  A long-time executive at Sun Microsystems, Nelson has distinguished himself with a long record of innovation managing the company’s global technical infrastructure portfolio.

As cross pollination has mutual benefits, Dean explains his views on leaving Sun.

A Geek In Training

youngdean-sun

The Sun Will Always Shine

I'm sure I will bore most of you with my historical ramblings, but today signifies a big change in my life. It is bitter sweet. I'm leaving the company that I have literally spent almost half of my life with.

My experience at Sun has been nothing but positive. Every one of my positions has been created from an internal need to solve a problem.  Each has given me a new perspective in considering how I approach and solve these problems. They have also stretched my skills, got me out of my comfort zone and made me grow personally and professionally.

What part of eBay appealed to Dean?

When I returned I met up with two of eBay's executives, the VP or Operations and the Sr VP of Architecture.  They articulated their strategy to reinvest in technologists to fuel the scale of their business.  As I listed to their vision and what role I could play to help it come to fruition, I started getting excited.  I had never truly appreciated the scale and impact of eBay. A huge population of people make their living on eBay. There are 88 million active users at any given point of the day - and the majority of the financial transactions that feed their 170 million listings, go through one of their companies - paypal.  They have also weathered the economic meltdown and are one of the oldest founding internet companies.  What resonated with me, was that their business lives and dies on the performance of their datacenters.  I had understood this before, but not at this level.  They are the epitome of Moore's law.  They have an aggressive tech-refresh program that enables them to keep up with user demand. But with great consumption, comes great responsibility. I witnessed a significant commitment to energy efficiency and environmentally responsible data center management through their green team. Their datacenters are core to the business in more ways than one. Their latest blog entry, eBay's Sustainable Data Center, highlights this. 

But after all the exciting conversations what I was most impressed with was how aligned and excited the leadership was.  They have retooled the approach from the top down and inspired their employees.  I felt the excitement, the energy and confidence in their future. They were experienced, focused, aligned and absolutely going after the market. I kept thinking to myself, that everyone I talked to seemed to be just like me - Geeks, excited by technology.  I could see many of them burning up their own car radios when they were kids!

ebay

What I got excited to see is this part on Green Data Centers.

At Sun I was able to beat our carbon reduction goal 5 years in advance and achieving 25% of the new goal within the first 3 months of 2009. Green is Green as long as it is an integral part of your daily thinking. This seems to be the case at eBay.

There is more and more cross pollination in the industry as Google recruited Chris Malone from HP, Microsoft recruited Chris Belady from HP, Amazon recruited James Hamilton from Microsoft, Digital Realty Trust recruited Mike Manos from Microsoft, and Apple recruited Olivier Sanche from eBay.

Individual companies may think the migration of data center executives is disruptive to business. This migration is disruptive, but in a good way as those companies who can attract the best talent have the highest probability of adapting to the changes in the data center industry.

Keep in mind attracting top talent is about providing the right opportunities to solve good problems. Dean made this point when he left Sun the first time.

The only reason I left Sun in 2000 was the lack of another challenging project.

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Google and Microsoft Criticize Obama’s e-health record plan

Healthcare is a huge user of data centers and the potential to replace all the paper records with electronic versions would save huge amounts of energy and resources.

Found this post where Google’s Eric Schmidt and Microsoft’s Craig Mundie both on the President’s Council of Advisors and Technology are involved in the e-health record project.

Google, Microsoft executives criticize Obama's e-health records plan

By Bob Brewin 08/06/2009

Newscom Google CEO Eric Schmidt says patients should have access to their records in a national health network.

Top executives at Google and Microsoft sharply questioned the structure of the Obama administration's $20 billion health information technology plan at a meeting of a presidential technology council on Thursday.

Eric Schmidt, chairman and chief executive officer of Google, told top health technology officials at a meeting of the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology that the current national health IT system planned by the administration will result in hospitals and doctors using an outdated system of databases in what is becoming an increasingly Web-focused world. The approach will stifle innovation, he said, and ensures medical professionals continue to use existing outmoded medical databases, many of which are copyrighted and cannot be duplicated.

Google and Microsoft are both motivated by their own solutions.

Google and Microsoft have developed Web-based personal health record software products, called Google Health and Microsoft HealthVault.

Eric Schmidt tried to promote the idea of open and user control.

Schmidt told the council that, like the Google and Microsoft applications, the national health IT system should be based on Web records that patients can control.

In addition, current electronic health record systems are proprietary and don't interoperate, said Richard Levin, president of Yale University. "What is out there is not very good," he said. "The reality is dismal."

In his opening remarks at the meeting, Blumenthal said he wanted to encourage innovation in the development of the national health records system, but he sidestepped Schmidt's questions on allowing patients to access and control their own records. He said his office is working on plans that will allow certain kinds of communications with personal health records, but he did not elaborate.

Chopra then said patients will receive summaries of their records.

Schmidt tersely responded, "Giving me a summary ... is not the same thing as giving me the record."

Craig Mundie tried to look at the bigger picture, but was slapped down.

The administration also should focus more on how to manage medical data -- including metadata to locate key pieces of information quickly -- rather than on the specifics of the electronic health records, said Craig Mundie, chief research and strategy officer at Microsoft.

Blumenthal said Mundie's approach would not work because funding in the stimulus law is pegged to the adoption and use of electronic health records, not to management of data by clinicians.

Sounds like a typical bureaucratic limited scope project, not something the Obama Administration would be proud of.

I wonder how long it will be before Google and Microsoft skip the meetings, and work with other international governments who understand the need for openness and user control.

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The Flaw of PUE, A Single Number To Hide Behind

 


I am reading a lot on modeling and finding some good people to learn from.  One is Sam Savage a Stanford professor.

Sam Savage
Professor (Consulting)
Management Science and Engineering


 

 

Research

* Fields of Specialization:
Embedding analytical techniques in spreadsheets, data bases and the OLAP environment, Risk Minimization in Petroleum Exploration, Stochastic Modeling in Accounting and the Law.

He has an article from Oct 8, 2000 in the SJ Mercury.

Published Sunday, October 8, 2000, in the San Jose Mercury News

 

The Flaw of Averages

If you count on the stock market's average return to support you in retirement, you could wind up penniless

BY SAM SAVAGE

``The only certainty is that nothing is certain.''

So said the Roman scholar Pliny the Elder. And some 2000 years later, it's a safe bet he would still be right. The Information Age, despite its promise, also delivers a dizzying array of technological, economic and political uncertainties. This often results in an error I call the Flaw of Averages, a fallacy as fundamental as the belief that the earth is flat.

The Flaw of Averages states that: Plans based on the assumption that average conditions will occur are usually wrong.

A humorous example involves the statistician who drowned while fording a river that was, on average, only three feet deep.


One of the points Professor Savage makes is

While many of today's managers still cling tenaciously to ``flat earth'' ideals, the innovators are abandoning averages and facing up to uncertainty. Those who dare discover a New World of managerial tools including simulation, decision trees, portfolio theory and real options.


And what happens when one of these innovators is confronted by someone cloaking themselves behind a single number? The story of the emperor's new clothes says it all.


I am constantly amazed how many people hold up PUE as a single number.

The guys at Google publish their PUE as not just a single number.

Quarterly energy-weighted average PUE: 1.20
Trailing twelve-month energy-weighted avg. PUE: 1.19
Individual facility minimum quarterly PUE: 1.15, Data Center B
Individual facility minimum TTM PUE*: 1.14, Data Center B
Individual facility maximum quarterly PUE: 1.30, Data Center H
Individual facility maximum TTM PUE*: 1.22, Data Center A

* Only facilities with at least twelve months of operation are eligible for Individual Facility TTM PUE reporting

What we need are more graphs showing the range.
Average PUE
Figure 2: Daily average PUE data for a new Google data center currently in bring-up

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Servers Talk while Sleeping

MIT’s Technology Review has a post on a project to attach a computer to a sleeping computer/server.

Making Computers Talk in their Sleep

A device called Somniloquy processes network traffic autonomously, allowing a computer's CPU, hard disk, and display to be powered down.

By Will Knight

The Somniloquy network adapter. Credit: Microsoft / UCSD.

While working on a story about routing Iinternet data based on electricity price fluctuations, I came across a clever idea for reducing the amount of power used by ordinary computers.

More details on this device are in this paper.

The Microsoft-UCSD network interface (described in this paper) could take over many network-related tasks like bit torrent file-sharing, and managing a remote desktop connection and a VOIP account, allowing the connected machine to enter sleep mode without losing its network link.

The adapter consists of a gumstix module with a 200 MHz XScale processor, 64 MB of RAM, and a 2-GB SD memory card running embedded Linux. When the adapter detects that the connected machine has entered sleep mode, it copies over networking information and carries out simple communications on its behalf.

This the device used in the post I wrote about last month.

Follow the Cheap Energy, Software Routes Internet Traffic to Slash Costs

MIT’s Technology Review has an article on an Internet-routing algorithm that adapts to energy prices.

Energy-Aware Internet Routing

Software that tracks electricity prices could slash energy costs for big online businesses.

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