Gaming the System to be at the top, relying on dumber behavior

The data center industry is complex and difficult to figure out. Listening to many insider conversations where discussion of reality and smart decisions are discussed, I sometimes feel sad that others can't figure out how the system can be gamed against those who build their first data center.

Two examples of games played are illustrated in two blog posts by Seth Godin; one, payola in the system, and two betting on dumber

First the Payola post.

Payola

For twenty years, the Billboard charts were easy to manipulate. By paying radio stations and some retailers, record labels could push an act to the top 40, which would increase sales. People liked buying what they heard on the radio, and the radio played what they thought people were buying.

Billboard changed their methods about twenty years ago, and overnight the acts on the list changed. Suddenly, it became clear that what we were listening to wasn't what we thought it was, and as a result, the marketing of music changed forever.

What gets read on the web can be manipulated as well.

Manipulating social networks is easier still. There are firms that manipulate which stories are posted and which blogs are linked to, and for years there are firms that have worked to manipulate which links come up higher on the search results as well. As these signposts become more, not less, important, there's a significant market opportunity for someone who can, as Billboard did, clean up the charts and make the payola worthless or at least more transparent. In the meantime, be skeptical.

I get exposure to the web eco system as I research and write this blog, interviewing people and getting contacted by the public relations companies.  The ones who get the most exposure are many times the ones with the biggest marketing budgets.  A good example is the data center analyst community.  Those vendors with the biggest budgets get the most time allocated by the analysts.  The more time and money spent allows more opportunity to differentiate the vendors vs. the competitors.  If you don't pay, then an analyst won't spend much time with your companies technology.  The analyst will try to be objective, but their time is allocated based on who has paid for research.

Betting on dumber behavior is another problem.

And most benefit when they work to make their customers dumber. The less they know about options, the easier they are to manipulate, the more helpless they are, the better they do.

The post wants to point how one marketer can change the system by focusing making customers smarter. But...

The vast majority of marketers, though, take the opposite tack. Ask them for advice about their competitors, they turn away and say "I really wouldn''t know." Ask them for details about their suppliers, and they don't want to tell you. Ask them to show you a recipe for how to make what they make on your own, and "it's a trade secret." Their perfect customer is someone in a hurry, with plenty of money and not a lot of knowledge about their options.

What is a solution to this problem.

You've already guessed the punchline--if just one player enters the field and works to make people smarter, the competition has a hard time responding with a dumbness offensive. They can obfuscate and run confusing ads, but sooner or later, the inevitability of information spreading works in favor of those that bet on it.

Look for smarter companies.

A few benefit when they make their customers smarter. The more the people they sell to know, the more informed, inquisitive, free-thinking and alert they are, the better they do.

But first question you need to ask is do you want to be smarter? And, wiling to go through the pains of learning and making mistakes.  You can't be smart without realizing when you are dumb.

or are you in a hurry?

Their perfect customer is someone in a hurry, with plenty of money and not a lot of knowledge about their options.

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Spies use of Social Networks

The FBI's arrest of 11 Russian spies is hot news and most of the attention is going to Anna Chapman.

Alleged Russian agent Anna Chapman could have warmed up any Cold War night

GALLERY

Anna Chapman, alleged Russian spy, posts photos online

Alleged Russian spy, Anna Chapman, became an instant Web sensation following the release of photos posted on the Russian social-networking Web site "Odnoklassniki," or Classmates.

By Monica Hesse

Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, July 1, 2010

There were 11 alleged Russian agents arrested this week, under accusations that they'd been living as Americans while reporting back to the mother country.

THIS STORY

  • But mostly we care about the hot one.

Ever since photos of Anna Chapman began circulating online late Tuesday, the Internet at large has been foaming, frothing, fanatic for details about the reported 28-year-old secret agent/Maxim model look-alike who specialized in sultry-eyed, pouty-lipped, come-hither stares. Da, da,da!

CNET news has a post on Facebook effect and spies.

A Cold War tale reheated for Facebook

by Caroline McCarthy

A time traveler from the 1960s would find many of today's headlines completely befuddling. Something called theiPhone? Threats from an amorphous, stateless band of terrorists? Reality television? A lot has changed, for sure.

But accused spies for the Kremlin--that's something our unstuck-in-time explorer would thoroughly recognize. Except, of course, when he heard everybody talking about foreign concepts like Facebook and LinkedIn.

Should a spy be on Facebook?

But for a young secret agent like Anna Chapman or Mikhail Semenko, the absence of a Facebook profile could trigger suspicion. If they're going to be like everybody else, of course they're going to use social networks.

Why spying is important.

Espionage is a fact of international life and always has been. The first spy manual, The Art of War, was written by Sun Tzu some 2,500 years ago. Espionage fills a vital niche; a successful operation can provide insight into intentions, plans, and human dynamics that cannot be gleaned from intercepted communications or pictures from space.

It is safe to assume that since the end of World War II there has never been a day that the Soviet Union or Russia was not spying on the United States, or vice versa. Espionage will continue, even as the United States and Russia work out a new modus vivendi.

Data Centers is a competitive industry, and as much as people try to keep things secret. With public disclosures it is not hard to piece together information.  Rich Miller posted on Facebook's 60,000 server count on June 28, 2010.

Facebook Server Count: 60,000 or More

June 28th, 2010 : Rich Miller

It’s said that a picture is worth a thousand words. Sometimes a PowerPoint slide can tell the story of thousands of servers.

That was the case with a presentation from Facebook’s Tom Cook at last week’s  Velocity 2010 conference, which depicted the growth of the company’s server footprint. Designed to illustrate Facebook’s insatiable need for more servers to support its 400 million users, the chart didn’t include any numbers, seeking not to reveal the actual server count.

Dates Provide A Clue
But the chart included dates, which allows us to do some math to fill in the blanks. In a presentation in November 2009, Facebook vice president of technology Jeff Rothschild disclosed that the company had more than 30,000 servers. Cook’s chart shows a brief plateau in Facebook’s server growth at about that time, followed by a sharp upward spike in the growth line through the first quarter of 2010 that effectively doubles the total number of servers.

That suggests that Facebook now has 60,000 or more servers. The sharp acceleration in Facebook’s server growth in late 2009 also helps explain the company’s move to lease large chunks of data center space in northern Virginia and Silicon Valley in March. The growth spurt occurred after Facebook announced plans to construct its own data center in Prineville, Oregon.

Putting together the pieces that are public is what I wrote about in this post.

Mar 09, 2010

A different interpretation of “Open Source” in an Intelligence Analysis scenario that defines how GreenM3 works public data

I ran across the term Open Source Intelligence.

Open source intelligence (OSINT) is a form of intelligence collection management that involves finding, selecting, and acquiring information from publicly available sources and analyzing it to produce actionable intelligence.

This description fits what I have been telling others about the various data center sources of information.

“If there is a public publication of information, we are open to look at and provide feedback on the value we see in the information.”

Which is a pretty good description of how this blog has been run, commenting on public available information.

BTW, the use of social networks is not anything new.  Three Days of the Condor is about a group of CIA researchers who did Open Source Intelligence - "I just read books"

Joe Turner (Robert Redford) is a CIA employee who works in a clandestine office in New York City. He is not a field agent, and indeed bristles at Agency discipline; among other things, he wonders why he can't tell people what he does for a living and notes "I trust some people ... that's a problem." His job is in the OSINT field: he has to read books, newspapers, and magazines from around the world, looking for hidden meanings and new ideas. As part of his duties, Turner files a report to CIA headquarters on a low-quality thriller novel his office has been reading, pointing out strange plot elements therein, and the unusual assortment of languages in which the book has been translated (Turkish but not French, Arabic but not Russian or German, Dutch, and Spanish).

Robert Redford's character says.

I work for the CIA. I'm not a spy. I just read books. We read everything that's published in the world, and we-- we feed the plots-- dirty tricks, codes into a computer, and the computer checks against actual CIA plans and operations. I look for leaks, new ideas. We read adventures and novels and journals. I-- I can-Who'd invent a job like that? I-- Listen! People are trying to kill me!

Here is a video clip from Three Days of the Condor.


Behind all of this is the technique of using public information with a bunch of people who are thinking of questions others don't ask.  There are tons of experts in the CIA.  There are tons in the data center industry.  Yet can the experts anticipate the unexpected?

Taking a bunch of people who look at what is going on in the world allows you to be more creative in figuring out the questions that should be asked.

If you are a spy you need cover your tracks.

There are perils to the process. One source here said that analysts who engage in searches without masking their origin can lead to foreign governments or companies cutting off access to web sites or to people involved. The problem? Some analysts at NSA, CIA and other alphabet soup agencies forget to mask their IP addresses and the times at which they are searching. Chinese, Russian and other savvy operators can check time stamps, for example. If a search occurs during American working hours, it’s a pretty good bet that it’s an American source looking for the information.
Read more: http://www.dodbuzz.com/2009/10/20/open-source-intel-use-soars/#ixzz0svCx1zvG

This technique makes it easier to think of what is a green data center.  Which is more than a low PUE.

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62% of EU's 2009 new energy capacity installed is renewable

NewEnergyFocus summarize an EU press release.

Renewables make up 62% of new EU electricity in 2009

Tuesday 06 July 2010

Renewables make up 62% of new EU electricity in 2009

The European Commission has published a report showing wind energy contributed the largest share of new electricity generation capacity in the EU in 2009

Renewable energy sources accounted for 62% of new electricity generation capacity installed in the EU27 in 2009, a 5% rise on 2008 levels, according to a report published by the European Commission.

The findings, compiled by the Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC) and published yesterday (July 5), also show that for the second year running, wind energy contributed the largest share of the new capacity.

And, in absolute terms, renewables produced 19.9% of Europe's electricity consumption in 2009, with hydropower holding the largest share (11.6%), followed by wind (4.2%), claims the latest ‘Renewable Energy Snapshots' report.

Some interesting facts from the press release is here.

With regards to the new capacity constructed that same year (27.5 GW), among the renewable sources, 37.1% was wind power, 21% photovoltaics (PV), 2.1% biomass, 1.4% hydro and 0.4% concentrated solar power, whereas the rest were gas fired power stations (24%), coal fired power stations (8.7%), oil (2.1%), waste incineration (1.6%) and nuclear (1.6%)  (see figure1).

Note the gas fired (24%) vs. Wind powered (37.1%) produced 40% more power 28 TWh vs. 20 TWh.

As not all installed technologies operate continuously 24 hours a day, figure 2 shows the expected yearly energy output (TWh) from the new capacity. The new gas-fired electricity plants will deliver yearly 28 TWh, followed by wind and PV with 20 TWh and 5.6 TWh, respectively.

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China's value of natural resource information is higher than others, US citizen added 8 years to sentence on July 4

SeattleTimes has an article on US citizen Xue Feng being sentenced for 8 more years on July 4 for stealing state secrets regarding oil wells.

China uses harsh tactics to keep secrets under wraps

China's sentencing on Monday of an American geologist, who has been jailed for the past 2 ½ years, to an additional eight years in prison for stealing state secrets is another demonstration of how the Chinese government will use the legal system to protect the business interests and competitive edge of its state-run firms.

By The Washington Post and The New York Times

Xue Feng

Xue Feng

SHANGHAI — China's sentencing on Monday of an American geologist, who has been jailed for the past 2 ½ years, to an additional eight years in prison for stealing state secrets is another demonstration of how the Chinese government will use the legal system to protect the business interests and competitive edge of its state-run firms.

Xue Feng, 44, a naturalized American who works for a U.S. energy-consulting firm, was charged with trying to buy a database that reportedly showed the location and condition of oil and wells belonging to China's government-owned National Petroleum Corp.

Part of being Green is the valuing of energy resources.

In other countries, such information would normally not be considered particularly sensitive. But China in recent years has shown an increasing willingness to use its catchall state secrecy laws — usually invoked in matters of national security — to protect what it considers the trade secrets of its state-run companies, particularly in the all-important energy sector

As extreme as some may consider China's actions how many environmental activist groups would want the power to put in jail what they define as crimes against the environment?

Given the sentencing was on July 4 there is more to this than a simple sentencing.

One possibility is on Before it's news.

While it is still unclear whether Xue actually committed the alleged act, oil industry espionage is hardly anything new.
Highlighting “cyberspies” are increasingly targeting strategically important businesses, The Christian Science Monitor did an in-depth report in January that at least three U.S. major oil companies--Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, and Marathon Oil--were the target of a series of cyber attacks.


The “hacking” was aimed at the valuable “bid data” detailing the quantity, value, and location of oil discoveries worldwide. Oil companies typically spend many millions of dollars to find the next big profitable discovery. Other countries or competitors may very well save considerable time and money and gain a competitive edge, or advantage in a bidding war, by employing cyberspies to steal such valuable information.
Although the Monitor article suggested China could be the culprit behind the cyber attacks on the U.S. oil companies, there's no real evidence of China's involvement. 


With the country’s economy consuming huge amounts of energy, China has been among the most aggressive in grabbing available resource base around the world.  As such, it is probably not a surprise that China will be inclined to impose harsh punishment to anyone that Beijing perceives as undermining this endeavor.

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5 Green Data Center Startups to know, well 1

Earth2Tech has a post on 5 green data center startups to know to support its Structure 2010 conference that was on June 23 - 24.

5 Green Data Center Startups You Need to Know

Katie Fehrenbacher Jun. 20, 2010, 7:03pm PDT 4 Comments

6

This week we’ll be kicking off the GigaOM Network’s (our parent company) third annual event focused on cloud computing and Internet infrastructure, Structure 2010, in San Francisco. In honor of the big event, which will feature speakers like Paul Maritz, the CEO of VMWare, Marc Benioff, the CEO of Salesforce.com, and Paul Sagan, the CEO of Akamai, we’ve decided to round up 5 green data center startups to watch.

I had high hopes looking at the list, but I found only one I would agree with.

2). SeaMicro: Low-power server maker SeaMicro is stealthy no longer. Last week the under-the-radar Santa Clara, Calif.-based company, which is backed by at least $25 million from venture firms Khosla Ventures and Draper Fisher Jurvetson, finally unveiled its server technology that consumes a quarter of the power of a regular server but packs more than 2,000 CPU cores and costs $139,000. The startup uses Atom chips and its own specially designed silicon to manage the networking. The bet is that Internet bigwigs like Amazon and Facebook will be willing to buy servers from a new startup to save on the ever-increasing energy costs of computing.

You can go through the list, but I would have reworded the post. 

Here are 5 exhibitors at Structuretone 2010 who have green data center offerings.

Here were a few comments that think there are others

  1. DanSunday, June 20 2010

    What about packetpower.com?

  2. Reply

    Impulse MagazineMonday, June 21 2010

    I am not familiar with any of these companies, I will definitely check them out

  3. Reply

    Richard DonaldsonMonday, June 21 2010

    Not sure how http://www.core4sys.com didn’t make this list – with >80% proven energy savings vis-a-vis incumbent Liebert/Chilled Water systems, it should have been a mention.

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