Strategy of The Fighter Pilot, Modeling Techniques

John Boyd is an innovator in fighter pilot techniques. I found some of his work based on looking for control theory and modeling.

Fast Company has an article about John Boyd’s work that is shorter than the book about his life which I am also reading.

Why is this interesting?

It's all about rapid assessment and adaptation to a complex and rapidly changing environment that you can't control.

This is the challenge to building a green data center.  The issues are constantly changing, and there is much beyond your control.  What you can do is assess the situation and adapt.

The model helps unify the approach.  An example used is Toyota’s organizational approach.

Bower and Hout's classic example -- and one that Boyd also studied -- was Toyota, which designed its organization to speed information, decisions, and materials through four interrelated cycles: product development, ordering, plant scheduling, and production. Self-organized, multifunctional teams at Toyota, they observed, developed products and manufacturing processes in response to demand, turning out new models in just three years compared with Detroit's cycle of four or five.

Systems like Toyota's worked so well, Boyd argued, because of schwerpunkt, a German term meaning organizational focus. Schwerpunkt, Boyd wrote, "represents a unifying medium that provides a directed way to tie initiative of many subordinate actions with superior intent as a basis to diminish friction and compress time." That is, employees decide and act locally, but they are guided by a keen understanding of the bigger picture.

Good models allow you to see things you didn’t know where there.

A modeling approach has the potential to create a convergence of ideas  to drive new innovation, and better education of the team.

John Boyd achieved this in fighter pilot techniques.

Boyd theorized that large organizations such as corporations, governments, or militaries possessed a hierarchy of OODA loops at tactical, grand-tactical (operational art), and strategic levels. In addition, he stated that most effective organizations have a highly decentralized chain of command that utilizes objective-driven orders, or directive control, rather than method-driven orders in order to harness the mental capacity and creative abilities of individual commanders at each level. In 2003, this power to the edge concept took the form of a DOD publication "Power to the Edge: Command...Control...in the Information Age" by Dr. David S. Alberts and Richard E. Hayes. Boyd argued that such a structure creates a flexible "organic whole" that is quicker to adapt to rapidly changing situations. He noted, however, that any such highly decentralized organization would necessitate a high degree of mutual trust and a common outlook that came from prior shared experiences. Headquarters needs to know that the troops are perfectly capable of forming a good plan for taking a specific objective, and the troops need to know that Headquarters does not direct them to achieve certain objectives without good reason.

Trust is a key ingredient to these ideas.  Modeling can be used to promote trust.

Note: OODA loop is described here.

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Even with Low Energy Prices, Nuclear Energy Continues on Wave of Clean Energy

A barrel of oil has hit $35, making the ROI for alternative energy sources negative.  But, interest continues in Nuclear.  Shut down Nuclear plants are threatened to be turned on in Eastern Europe to address natural gas supplies from Russia.

The push by Bulgaria and Slovakia highlights the EU’s need to diversify its gas supply routes. “Preparations … must begin immediately,” said Bulgarian President Georgi Purvanov shortly after Russia cut supplies to Europe. He was referring to reactors three and four of the Kozloduy power plant. The closure of the reactors was a prerequisite to Bulgaria’s entry into the EU.

Puranov recently said that under the treaty that allowed Bulgaria to join the EU, his country has “the right to resume the operation of the two reactors in a critical situation, and a more critical situation is hardly possible,” he was quoted as saying by the semi-official Bulgarian News Agency. “If the situation does not normalize,” he added referring to Russian gas cuts, “I expect our European partners to show understanding and not to object to such a move," Purvanov said.

Barrons has an article about Nuclear Energy.

The Blossoming of Nuclear Power 

By ROBIN GOLDWYN BLUMENTHAL  | MORE ARTICLES BY AUTHOR

Exelon, Entergy and other nuclear-power giants are set to surge, thanks to the Obama administration's plans for heavy investment in clean energy.

THE U.S. STANDS AT A PIVOTAL MOMENT for the advancement of nuclear energy.

President-elect Barack Obama has put forth a goal to reduce carbon emissions in the U.S. by 80% by 2050, using $150 billion over 10 years to create a "clean-energy" future. Nuclear plants are the biggest producers of energy that doesn't emit any greenhouse gases.

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Scott Pollack for Barron's

Plans are afoot to build 26 nuclear plants. No new plants have been built in the U.S. for 30 years.

"Nuclear power is in a renaissance," says Tom Neff, a physicist and research affiliate at MIT's Center for International Studies. In fact, 17 applicants are seeking government approval to build 26 nuclear plants, meeting a Dec. 31 deadline for federal tax credits and potentially ending a 30-year hiatus in the construction of new U.S. nuke facilities.

That adds up to a big investment opportunity. Even if it takes 10 years for the first of the new crop to be built -- a distinct possibility -- some of the power companies operating the 104 existing nuclear plants look tempting right now. Their stocks are cheap and their competitive advantages are many. They have lower costs than rivals such as coal-fired facilities, putting them in a better position to ride out the recession. They'll come out much better than the competition if a carbon tax is imposed. And they're better-prepared for the long haul in the new era of nuclear power.

As there is more interest in Carbon Cap and Trade, data center carbon emissions will eventually be reported. And, nuclear plants are the next best thing to hydroelectric for 24 hour carbon free dependable power supplies at scale and cost required for a data center.

I am waiting for the anti-nuclear crowd to require a radioactivity emissions to battle nuclear plants.  But, what few people know is coal ash is more radioactive than nuclear waste.  See this Scientific American article.

Coal Ash Is More Radioactive than Nuclear Waste

By burning away all the pesky carbon and other impurities, coal power plants produce heaps of radiation

By Mara Hvistendahl

 

nuclear-power-plant-with-radiation-sign

CONCENTRATED RADIATION: By burning coal into ash, power plants concentrate the trace amounts of radioactive elements within the black rock.
©ISTOCKPHOTO.COM

The popular conception of nuclear power is straight out of The Simpsons: Springfield abounds with signs of radioactivity, from the strange glow surrounding Mr. Burn's nuclear power plant workers to Homer's low sperm count. Then there's the local superhero, Radioactive Man, who fires beams of "nuclear heat" from his eyes. Nuclear power, many people think, is inseparable from a volatile, invariably lime-green, mutant-making radioactivity.

Coal, meanwhile, is believed responsible for a host of more quotidian problems, such as mining accidents, acid rain and greenhouse gas emissions. But it isn't supposed to spawn three-eyed fish like Blinky.

Over the past few decades, however, a series of studies has called these stereotypes into question. Among the surprising conclusions: the waste produced by coal plants is actually more radioactive than that generated by their nuclear counterparts. In fact, the fly ash emitted by a power plant—a by-product from burning coal for electricity—carries into the surrounding environment 100 times more radiation than a nuclear power plant producing the same amount of energy. * [See Editor's Note at end of page 2]

At issue is coal's content of uranium and thorium, both radioactive elements. They occur in such trace amounts in natural, or "whole," coal that they aren't a problem. But when coal is burned into fly ash, uranium and thorium are concentrated at up to 10 times their original levels.

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RFID in the Data Center

Forbes has a businesswire about Financial Services Technology Consortium specifying RFID tagging of IT Assets.

Financial Institutions Collaborate in Documenting Requirements for RFID Data Center Asset...

12.18.08, 10:27 AM EST

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The Financial Services Technology Consortium (FSTC) today announced it has published RFID Basic Functional and Numbering Requirements for IT Data Center Assets. Over the last six months, FSTC members and RFID organizations have collaborated to produce functional requirements targeted at IT Asset vendors for pre-tagging data center equipment in a standard method prior to shipments to data centers. The numbering requirements are based on the EPCglobal Electronic Product Code (EPC) and the GS1 Global Individual Asset Identifier (GIAI).

The RFID Basic Functional Requirements and Number Requirements, documented by the FSTC project team are now available on the FSTC web site. This FSTC project had a goal of assisting all data centers, not just within the financial industry, with creating a process that will reduce the time required to inventory IT Assets. The implementation of RFID technology allows the entire inventory process to be automated from end-to-end (ordering, receiving, installation, maintenance, and removal and destruction), thus increasing accuracy, reducing labor and providing real-time location capability.

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Going Green, "Do what's rational, not what's fashionable."

Scientific American has an article where two group debated combating climate change.

On the table for debate: Major reductions in carbon emissions are not worth the money.


The audience, a packed house composed primarily of residents of the Upper West Side of Manhattan but also everyone from an Environmental Protection Agency staffer to a busload of students from Penn State, initially didn't favor the motion, with 49 percent opposed, 35 percent undecided and only 16 percent supporting it.

After the debate.

The sentiments of the crowd changed after the debate, with 48 percent still for paying to cut carbon while 42 percent now convinced it wasn't worth the price. (Ten percent said they were still undecided.) After the debate, participants decried the format as no way to get at ideas and Huber had an inkling why his side succeeded: strategic voting. In other words, many of those already convinced that cutting carbon is a boondoggle pretended to be undecided. That's a strategy that may find its ultimate expression in the Congress in the near future.

One voice of logic said.

At present, companies, donors and the like prefer to be politically correct than effective, he argued. "Do what's rational, not what's fashionable."

Keep this in mind if you are effective, you’ll have a higher probability of saving costs. 

But, for some going Green is a popularity contest.  Those are the ideal customer for the greenwashers.

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Apple’s Sustainability Obstacle

Apple has hit a new obstacle in its sustainability as a company.

Sustainability, in a broad sense, is the capacity of maintaining a certain process or state. It is now most frequently used in connection with biological and human systems. In an ecological context, sustainability can be defined as the ability of an ecosystem to maintain ecological processes, functions, biodiversity and productivity into the future.[1]

How much will Apple change during Steve Jobs medical leave?

Apple CEO Jobs takes medical leave

Chief operating officer, Tim Cook, will take over Jobs' responsibilities

Image: Steve Jobs, Oct. 2005; Sept. 2008

Justin Sullivan / Getty Images file

Jobs takes medical leave
Jan. 14: Apple CEO Steve Jobs will take a six-month medical leave and will step down temporarily as CEO.

BREAKING NEWS

updated 8 minutes ago

Apple Inc. co-founder and Chief Executive Steve Jobs said Wednesday he is taking a medical leave of absence until the end of June — just a week after the cancer survivor tried to assure investors and employees his recent weight loss was simply caused by a treatable hormone deficiency.

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