Bill Gates says better Software Modeling is key to solve complex problems

About two years ago, I started down the path of studying software modeling methods that work for data centers.  Over the last 6 months I've seen more growth in this area. 

With Bill Gates making the calling for software modeling for complex problems, there is a good chance there will be even more growth over the next 6 months.

CNET's Ina Fried reports on Bill's conversation on software modeling.

 

August 6, 2010 12:35 PM PDT

Bill Gates: Better software modeling is a key

by Ina Fried

LAKE TAHOE, Calif.--A key to many hard problems, from using nuclear power to combating diseases, is better software modeling, Bill Gates said on Friday.

While it's not surprising that he's a fan of using software to help solve hard problems, it is somewhat surprising that there aren't already good models for some diseases.

"There's no disease-modeling software," he said, speaking at the end of the three-day Techonomy conference here. "There is none. Why is flu seasonal? We don't know."

Why model? Bill says.

He conceded that the models never get things right exactly, but he said, "You are a hundred times smarter doing it that way than just going out there (without such models)."

"What you are doing is constantly tweaking them to match the finite data set you have," he said.

Bill has figured out the modeling concept as part of the nuclear power project he has funded Terrapower.

For example, Gates said that it takes a really long time to get a new nuclear power plant technology to market, longer even than the patent that might allow a successful invention to be profitable.

"You are not going to have a lot of people putting down money when the length of the project is longer than the length of the patent," Gates said, speaking at the Techonomy conference here.

It's not even certain that one could do it in their lifetime and he said a lot of people like to focus on projects that will happen in their lifetimes, "particularly if you aren't that religious," a category in which he said he falls.

Although some areas need help, Gates said creating new forms of energy will lead to new wealth. "A few somebodies will get very rich making those breakthroughs."

If we knew a particular solar or nuclear technology were a sure thing, he said, our power issues would be complete. But, he said, "boy are there a lot of problems that need to be solved."

There are some people thinking of data center modeling, but only a very few are looking at the complexity of the total system, including social and environmental in addition to the economics and technical issues.  With time and the growth of modeling in other areas, more people will discover what Bill is talking about.

Read more

Site Selection process means choosing a vendor network

The site selection process is one of the top ways to influence your ability to run a green data center.  Power generation composition defines your carbon footprint.  The site environmental condition defines your choice of cooling systems. Mike Manos adds his opinion on this topic.

So you might be thinking, ‘Great, I just need to find the areas that have cheap power and a good Carbon Emission Factor right?’  The answer is no.  Many Site Selection processes that I see emerging in the generic space start and stop right at this line.   I would however advocate that one takes the next logical step which is to look at the relationship of these factors together and over a long period of time.

But, what most people miss focusing on these technical details is the network you choose when you start down the process.  One of the insider data center discussions I have had is how people don't understand the vendor networks that exist.  Almost every vendor has a network of people who they work with as preferred vendors.  The relationships are not always transparent and can have referral fees for diverting new business.  Customers may think they get around the requirement for competitive bidding requirements, but the bidding may not be as competitive as you think as many vendors cannot get into a bid if they don't have an established relationship with the group controlling the bid process.

The ones to be most suspicious of are the ones who make repeatedly claims of being objective and independent.  It is analogous to someone who says "trust me."  But it sounds like "don't trust me" to me.

How do you get out of this mess, as the data center owner you need to be in control of your own destiny and open your eyes to complexity of the relationships. 

Also,  following others can make your life easier as someone with more resources has run a more thorough analysis.  Mike Manos discusses how others are following Microsoft to Chicago.

We have seen many examples like Quincy, Washington and San Antonio, Texas where the site selection process has led to many Data Center providers locating in the same area to benefit from this type of analysis (even if not directly exposed to the criteria).  There is a story (that I don’t know if its true or not) that in the early days when a new burger chain was looking to expand where it would place its restaurants, it used the footprint of its main competitor as its guide. The thinking was that they probably had a very scientific method for that selection and they would receive that same ancillary benefit without the cost and effort.   Again, not sure if that is true or not, but its definitely something likely to happen in our industry.

In many markets these types of selections are in high demand.   Ascent Corporation out of St. Louis is in the process of building a modern facility just down the street from the Microsoft Mega-Facility near Chicago.   While Ascent was a part of the original Microsoft effort to build at that location, there has been an uptick in interest for being close to that facility for the same reasons as I have outlined here.  The result is their CH2 facility is literally a stones throw from the Microsoft Behemoth.  The reasons? Proximity to power, fiber, and improved water infrastructure are already there in abundance.  The facility even boasts container capabilities just like its neighbor.   The Elmhurst Electrical Substation sits directly across the highway from the facility with the first set of transmission poles within easy striking distance. 

Elmhurst Electrical Yard

The Generation mix of that area has a large nuclear component which has little to no carbon impact, and generates long term stability in terms of power cost fluctuations.   According to Phil Horstmann, President of Ascent, their is tremendous interest in the site and one of the key draws is the proximity of its nearby neighbor.  In the words of one potential tenant ‘Its like the decision to go to IBM in the 80s.  Its hard to argue against a location where Microsoft or Google has placed one of its facilities.’

This essentially dictates that there will be increasing demand on areas where this analysis is done or has been perceived to be done.   This is especially true where co-location and hosting providers can align their interests with those commercial locations where there is market demand.  While those that follow first movers will definitely benefit from these decisions (especially those without dedicated facility requirements), first movers continue to have significant advantage if they can get this process correct.

But, as Mike points out you rarely get as good a deal as those who are the first movers.

While those that follow first movers will definitely benefit from these decisions (especially those without dedicated facility requirements), first movers continue to have significant advantage if they can get this process correct.

Read more

Is RIM's Server placement in Saudi Arabia the tipping point for server placement based on politics?

The media has been covering the RIM Blackberry in Saudi Arabia, speculating on shutting down the service.  The easy answer is put a blackberry server in Saudi Arabia, the problem is does RIM want to take on the costs to run blackberry servers in another country.  The alternative is lose revenue.

This was bound to happen at some point, and if RIM is smart they'll negotiate an increase in subscription fees to cover the costs of running servers in Saudi Arabia or just consider the costs part of selling in other countries.

MSNBC has an article on the deal between Saudi Arabia and RIM.

Saudi says deal reached on BlackBerry services

Agreement lets government monitor wireless message traffic

advertisement | ad info

STR / AP

A Saudi customer is served in a mobile shop at a market in the capital Riyadh, Saudi Arabia Thursday, Aug. 5, 2010. Some Saudis are trying to sell their BlackBerrys ahead of a ban on the smart phone's messenger service in the kingdom _ but with few willing to buy, they're having to slash prices. (AP Photo)

By ABDULLAH AL-SHIHRI

RIYADH, Saudi Arabia — Saudi Arabia and the makers of the BlackBerry smartphone have reached a deal on accessing users' data that will avert a ban on the phone's messenger service, a Saudi official said Saturday.

The agreement, involving placing a BlackBerry server inside Saudi Arabia, would allow the government to monitor users' messages and allay official fears the service could be used for criminal purposes, the official said.

The deal could have wide-ranging implications for several other countries, including India and the United Arab Emirates, which have expressed similar concerns over how BlackBerry maker Research in Motion Ltd., handles data.

An interesting question for the data center industry is where are the Blackberry servers going to be placed?  Who owns the data center?  Who has access?

Unfortunately, the deployment of additional servers in countries is most likely not very green for the RIM data center group as centralizing the resources is much more efficient. The plane flights from RIM HQ to Riyadh will increase the carbon footprint as well.

But as cell phone technology matures is it inevitable that country politicians want web services to be in their country.

Who is next?  Facebook, Twitter, Google?

The experienced data center executives take into account political environments in data center placement.

Do you?

Read more

First reaction to Lee Tech on Tap in Chicago,

The energy was high at Lee Tech on Tap in Chicago and I can see why people keep on attending.  Given how much I have written about the event many people were surprised this was my first one to attend and I am glad my first was where it started.

There are some great people I met there and discussed ideas that wouldn't have happened if  I wasn't at the event.  Usually when you go to an event you feel good if you make a couple of good contacts.  In one night, I made at least 7 good connections that I will follow up on.

The benefit of an event is finding people of the same mindset and people who are different who stimulate new thinking.

A good indicator of the energy and how well things worked is the sub groups that existed.  There were over a dozen sub groups and people knew at some point, "hey you need to take to Mike, he is right over there, let me get him."

The support of sub group of discussion is a method to foster better collaboration.  This is what Rob Howard discusses in the post I reference on collaboration software.

It should be noted that I am not advocating that communities be limited by membership size. Rather, capabilities should exist within a larger community to support smaller, internal groups that can form around narrow areas of interest. This is validated by both Twitter and FacebookFacebook, which have in recent months both introduced capabilities to narrow the scope of conversations:Lists, privacy controls, and so on.

I am still digesting the event, and there are a series of follow up meetings I have today based on the connections I made last night.

It was well worth the plane trip to come to Chicago.  And, I am looking forward to my next Lee Tech on Tap event.

Read more

Green Data Center Renewable Network in Canada

It can be hard green your energy supply to one data center as unless you are Google Energy you don't have the resources and use to investigate new ideas.  So, in Canada there are a collection of data centers looking to have a low carbon data center footprint.

ITBusinessEdge writes.

The Green Data Center: Pursuing the Big Picture

Posted by Arthur Cole Aug 3, 2010 4:52:30 PM

Slide Show

The quest for the ever-greener data center has long focused on more energy-efficient hardware and software platforms, both to lower consumption for actual data processing and lessen the resulting heat load.

Most of the these initiatives have one thing in common: They target energy use at individual facilities. This has been a problem for supporters of renewable energy in particular, who have faced resistance from those who say such sources are unreliable.

But what if we approached the problem from a broader perspective, say, by linking data centers together and driving efficiencies at the utility level? Is it possible that we could see not only greater conservation but improved service as well?

The GreenStar Network is the Canadian project.

The goal of the GreenStar Network Project is to initiate a Canadian consortium of industry, universities and government agencies with the common goal of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions arising from information & communication technology (ICT) services.

The expected result is the creation of tools, protocols, procedures, use cases for a growing network of ICT service providers that offers customers the lowest price and greenest services.

The project is innovative because it focuses on the relationship between networks and green datacenters in order to provide Green ICT services.  Canada and Canadians will benefit by a continued growth of ICT with significantly reduced carbon footprint and an international leadership role in Green ICT.

Scientific computing comments.

Solar-Powered Datacenter Launches in Green Internet Network

Solar-Powered Datacenter Launches in Green Internet Network

A rooftop solar-powered datacenter has been connected to Canada’s first “green” powered internet network. On June 29, 2010, Cybera, with national partners CANARIE and the GreenStar Network (GSN) Project, connected the Calgary node, which is managed by Cybera, will draw more than 1,840 watts of power from eight solar panels (230 watts each) installed on roof space donated by Calgary Technologies in the Alastair Ross Technology Centre. Over the next few months, the GSN Project will connect five different nodes across Canada, each powered by renewable energy sources as they store and transfer research data for pilot user groups.

Is is more likely that green data centers can occur on a campus type of network?

I think so, this approach is what we have been discussing with the folks in Missouri and their data center site.

Read more