IT Professionals predict Mobile and Cloud Technologies will dominate by 2015, but where will IT professionals be?

IBM has research that supports the view the future is Mobile and Cloud Computing.

IBM Survey: IT Professionals Predict Mobile and Cloud Technologies Will Dominate Enterprise Computing By 2015

Trends Signal Shift in Skills Necessary for Businesses to Drive Growth

ARMONK, N.Y. - 08 Oct 2010: Information technology professionals predict that mobile and cloud computing will emerge as the most in-demand platforms for software application development and IT delivery over the next five years, according to a new IBM (NYSE: IBM) survey released today.

The 2010 IBM Tech Trends Survey, conducted online by IBM developerWorks, provides insight into the most significant enterprise technology and industry trends based on responses from 2,000 IT developers and specialists across 87 countries.  
IBM Survey: IT Professionals Predict Mobile and Cloud Technologies Will Dominate Enterprise Computing By 2015
According to the survey, more than half of all IT professionals – 55 percent -- expect mobile software application development for devices such as iPhone and Android, and even tablet PCs like iPad and PlayBook, will surpass application development on all other traditional computing platforms by 2015.

But with this paradigm comes an agile, competitive environment.  Which for a risk adverse IT professional can be pretty scary.

How much of the cloud computing growth is fueled by those business units frustrated by internal IT departments? 

How many users love the iPad, iPhone, Android phone because there is little IT involvement?

Blackberry's were top in popularity because IT departments can manage the devices.  How many iPhone and and Android users wish they could go back to their Blackberry?

Those IT departments who stick to the past and slow down the enterprise will have direct affect on the competitiveness of a company.

The future will have by 2015 a major company that suffers a catastrophic data center/IT outage that will cripple its business and market cloud just like BP. The nimble companies like Facebook and Foursquare quickly address their outages and are transparent with fixes.

Foursquare and Facebook Experience Downtime. World Continues to Spin.

Foursquare? The world found out Monday when the location-based social network went down due to technical difficulties -- not atypical for fast-growing startups, but still concerning at a time when Facebook and other rivals would gladly take its place.
Total downtime was around 11 hours all told," reports TechCrunch. "That's not good."

...

What's more, "Foursqaure isn't the only one experiencing downtime lately," VentureBeat points out. "Facebook recently had its worst downtime in 4 years when the service was unavailable for 2.5 hours."

I think the dominant technologies by 2015 are those who can survive outages. 24X7 is much harder in a cloud computing mobile world as people are connecting more than ever.

Read more

One More Data Center Conference, 2010 Data Center Energy Efficiency Summit

In the past two weeks I have gone to Schneider Electric's media event, Data Center Dynamics Chicago, and AFCOM Data Center World in LV.  On Thurs, Oct 14 is SVLG 2010 Data Center Energy Efficiency Summit in San Jose is next.  Given my focus on Green Data Centers, the topic is right on the mark to cover.

2010 Data Center Energy Efficiency Summit

October 14, 2010 | Host: Brocade
View the Agenda Here
Registration is now open for the Silicon Valley Leadership Group's 2010 Data Efficiency Summit on Thursday, October 14.

Brocade Logo

The Data Center Summit is a partnership between the Silicon Valley Leadership Group, the California Energy Commission and the Lawrence Berkeley National Lab.

The Data Center Efficiency Summit is a one day forum that focuses on best practices and emerging technologies/applications that reduce data center costs and significantly increase efficiencies for both legacy and new construction.

I am sure I'll have much to discuss and meet many friends who focus on Green and energy efficiency.

Read more

Amazon's James Hamliton shares Overall Data Center Costs, except taxes

James Hamilton has a nice post on the Overall Data Center Costs

Overall Data Center Costs

A couple of years ago, I did a detailed look at where the costs are in a modern , high-scale data center. The primary motivation behind bringing all the costs together was to understand where the problems are and find those easiest to address. Predictably, when I first brought these numbers together, a few data points just leapt off the page: 1) at scale, servers dominate overall costs, and 2) mechanical system cost and power consumption seems unreasonably high. Both of these areas have proven to be important technology areas to focus upon and there has been considerable industry-wide innovation particularly in cooling efficiency over the last couple of years.

I posted the original model at the Cost of Power in Large-Scale Data Centers. One of the reasons I posted it was to debunk the often repeated phrase “power is the dominate cost in a large-scale data center”. Servers dominate with mechanical systems and power distribution close behind. It turns out that power is incredibly important but it’s not the utility kWh charge that makes power important. It’s the cost of the power distribution equipment required to consume power and the cost of the mechanical systems that take the heat away once the power is consumed. I referred to this as fully burdened power.

This post supports one of the ideas I threw out there on Amazon's financial discipline.

At many companies the rigors of getting approval a data center construction project approved are from the business units, technical people, and the CFO.  I would expect at Amazon.com, everyone wants to see the numbers, and they spend much more time on financial modeling.

Should we lease or build?

What is the best use of Amazon's capital and cash?

What is the overall operating expense of a leased vs. owned facility?

Latest decision in the East Coast. Lease.

The one variable that is difficult to put into an  excel document is the taxes you pay.  Believe it or not the tax incentives are one of the biggest things that gets the big builders to be in one state vs. another.

James's data is a good starting point, but don't forget to get your tax department involved in the data center project.

Read more

Studying Tenants in a Colocation Data Center space, what is in Digital Realty Trust

Digital Realty Trust has in its 2009 10-K statement on page 35 a list of its top 20 tenants.

image

I've been staring at this table for a while, seeing what could be learned from this public disclosure.

Top 3 tenants are resellers of space - Savvis, Equinix and Qwest comprise 24.8% of the sq ft, but are only 18.9% of the rent.

The 3 financials - JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and HSBC are 2.8% of the sq ft and 7.1% of the revenue which can be explained by the high availability requirements for their space and requirements to support financial transactions.

Google is not in the Top 20 listed.  But, Microsoft, Yahoo! and Facebook are. Microsoft has the most amount of space of these 3 with 2.5% of the space and 1.6% of revenue.  Yahoo! has 0.9% of the sq ft and 1.9% of the revenue.  With Facebook at #4 in revenue with 3.6%, they have only 1.1% of the space in Digital's data centers.  Facebook being a young company could be in high density space, so judging just by sq ft and not knowing power leaves more questions.

Comverse Technology looks like they have the most amount of space in one location 2.9% of the sq ft and only 1.4% of the revenue.  But, all spaces are not created equal and it would seem the space Comverse got into had little demand from others which may explain why there is so much space.

Why are these numbers important?  As companies decide to build data centers, they use their colocation costs as part of the business justification.  But, how many look at the costs others are paying for colocation space to judge the ROI of a data center?

Read more

Google TV vs. Apple TV, Microsoft couldn’t last for this battle

The latest move by Google and Apple for the TV experience all require big data centers.  Newsweek covers how these companies are remaking the Tube.

Geek TV

Computer makers take over the tube.

Martin Katz / Xinhua-Landov

For the past few years, tech companies have been trying to find a way to bring the Internet and television to-gether, without much success. Sure, there are lots of little boxes you can attach to your TV that let you download content from the Internet, including Vudu, Roku, TiVo, Boxee, and Apple TV, not to mention game consoles from Microsoft and Sony. Each one gives you a little something different. But no single box gives you the whole Internet.

Now Google is out to replace all those crazy little boxes with Google TV. The software program will come built right into some TV sets and it will basically turn your TV into a computer.

In all the news about Google and Apple there is almost no mention of MSN TV.

image

Because you can’t buy MSN TV anymore.

image

MSN TV is the rebranded WebTV Microsoft acquired.

MSN TV (formerly WebTV) is the name of both a thin client which uses a television for display (rather than a computer monitor), and the online servicethat supports it.

The product and service was developed by WebTV Networks, Inc., a company purchased by Microsoft Corporation and absorbed into MSN (the Microsoft Network). While most thin clients developed in the mid-1990s were positioned as diskless workstations for corporate intranets, WebTV was positioned as a consumer device for web access.

A good friend from my Apple days worked at WebTV which eventually made him a Microsoft employee.  I hired him to help evangelize Windows XP before he moved on to senior architect position in Windows.  Ironically he now works at Google, not on the TV product.

Going back further in time I worked for a short period in the Microsoft Interactive TV team which was run by Craig Mundie.  Craig is the one who drove the acquisition of WebTV.

Microsoft takes notice

In February 1997, in an investor meeting with Microsoft, Steve Perlman was approached by Microsoft's Senior Vice President for Consumer Platforms Division, Craig Mundie. Despite the fact that the initial WebTV sales had been modest, Mundie expressed that Microsoft was impressed with WebTV and saw significant potential both in WebTV's product offering and in applying the technology to other Microsoft consumer and video product offerings

Things have changed a lot in 14 years that WebTV was launched.  The first servers for WebTV were run from their office in an old BMW dealership.

WebTV's online service running from servers in its tiny office, still based in the former BMW dealership

Apple and Google now have some of the top data center infrastructure in the industry.  What has changed in the 14 years is the requirement to use data centers to power the user experience. 

I wonder if part of what contributed to Microsoft’s inability to keep up the MSN/WebTV platform is the lack of data center capabilities during product development.

It is interesting how not to long ago servers were viewed as support devices – file and print servers.   Now servers do the heavy lifting so the client experience is faster, more efficient and more flexible.

Read more