An unintended consequence of China's censorship, a game of who can beat the system

NYTimes has a post on the 23rd anniversary of Tiananmen Crackdown has possible effects in the Shanghai Stock Market's decline.

Anniversary of Tiananmen Crackdown Echoes Through Shanghai Market

HONG KONG — The Shanghai Stock Exchange produced an unlikely, almost ghostly result on the 23rd anniversary of the military crackdown in Tiananmen Square, an odd echo of a tragedy thatChina’s leaders have tried desperately to erase from their country’s consciousness.

The index fell 64.89 points on Monday, a figure that looks like June 4, 1989. In yet another unusual development, the index opened on Monday at 2346.98 — a figure that looks like the date of the crackdown written backward, followed by the 23rd anniversary.

Hopefully, most of you realize how silly this is to think that there is a meaning in the numbers 89/6/4 = 89 June 4.  We have all read silly things like this being read into things.  Which reminds me of my Cargo Cult Science post.

What is real though is the activity of China's censors.

Chinese censors, showing characteristic heavy-handedness, especially on anniversaries of Tiananmen Square, began blocking searches for “stock market,” “Shanghai stock” and “Shanghai stock market” and started deleting large numbers of microblog postings about the numerical fluke.

This got me thinking what happens when China's censors delete and block content.

The Chinese have great pride in figuring out how to be smarter than the next guy,  including countries, races, as well as individuals. What comes to mind is with tthe billion plus people in China, there must be thousands and thousands of people who are trying to figure out how to be smarter than the censors. Why? It is like a game to show how smart you are.  

A Lesson from why Art is Valuable, could explain human decisions on value

It is interesting watching the really smart people make their decisions on data center design and specific pieces of equipment they choose.

I was watching a TED video of Paul Bloom discuss the origins of pleasure.  And, he had this slide up.

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This statement can be used to explain the data center experts perception of value.  Here is the above quote modified.

The value of a data center power/mechanical equipment is rooted in assumptions about the human performance underlying its creation. 

They have an assumption of the creation of the equipment built by humans.  They know the equipment design, and many times the specific engineers that were on the design team.  They know the past performance of the equipment.  The manufacturing and sourcing of material.  Even what service operations are like for the equipment.

The #1 thing that will cause a drop in value of the equipment is if assumptions are no longer valid.  Parts have been changed due to supply chain issues, quality has dropped due to manufacturing staff changes, designs are modified for cost reductions.  As most have learned, just because the equipment was good for you 2 years ago, it doesn't mean the latest versions are the same.

You can watch this complete video to get the full story.  The part I mention is at 11:05.

A Seth Godin post can on collision of code and humans can be applied to Data Centers

Seth Godin has a post on the collision of code and humans.

Thriving in a wet environment

If you've ever fixed any kind of machinery, you know that a device that's exposed to the elements is incredibly difficult to maintain. A washing machine or the underside of a car gets grungy, fast.

On the other hand, the dryest, cleanest environment of all is the digital one. Code stays code. If it works today, it's probably going to work tomorrow.

A Challenge for data centers comes to mind with his next paragraph.

Whatever we build gets misunderstood, corroded and chronic, and it happens quickly and in unpredictable ways. That's one reason why the web is so fascinating--it's a collision between the analytic world of code and wet world of people.

It's hard to make money in Mobile, China's Smartphone market

Now it may seem obvious that a small screen limits the amount of advertisements that can be displayed which then effects the revenue possible from mobile devices.  In addition with iMessage and others creation of messaging services SMS is under threat as well.

WSJ has a post that describes some of these conditions occuring in China.  Tencent is threatening the mobile carriers the same way iMessage is.

Among the biggest losers could be the telecom companies. HSBC analyst Tucker Grinnan estimates that SMS (short-messaging services) accounted for about 15% of China Mobile'sCHL -1.41% revenue in 2011. That's under threat from Internet-based messaging systems like Tencent's Weixin. From zero users at the beginning of 2011, Weixin grew to 100 million in March 2012.

It's no coincidence that China's SMS traffic per subscriber declined 7% over the same period, or that Internet giant Tencent is reorganizing its business to focus more on mobile.

Mobile ads as well.

China's social-networking and portal sites like RenrenRENN -4.11% and Sina Corp. SINA -5.16%are also struggling to monetize a growing number of mobile users.

Mary Meeker's 2012 Internet Trends Presentation, watch out data center industry Mobile will change your world

Mobile is probably going to be one of the greenest effects on data centers.  Why?  The market penetration will dwarf the desktops, yet the lower mobile ad margins put huge pressures to be more efficient.  In addition all kinds of things are being re-imagined for mobile devices.

I was slow to move to Mobile.  i didn't get an iPhone until the 3GS.   The kids got an iPad, not me.  I stuck to my IBM laptop.  Now I have an iPhone 4S, Samsung Galaxy Note, Galaxy Nexus, Kindle Fire, latest iPad, and MacBook Air.  Mobile is where I spend more time thinking about new services.  Data Centers are critical to the mobile solution.  The way of fat clients is the past.  Mobile = Highly Connected cost effective energy efficient data centers.  

Mary Meeker gave a presentation at WSJ's all things d.  The presentation is here.

All things d has a post that gives you a good summary.

My cut at what I found interesting is as follows.  

Let's start with the bad news Mobile is 5X lower eCPMs vs. Desktop

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Average revenue per user 1.7-5x lower on mobile vs. Desktop.

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Google's cost per click is referenced as limiting revenue growth.

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Apple's revenue growth is good news for its business model.

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The change is illustrated by the past vs. present.

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Page 36 starts a series of other re-imagination.

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If you agree with Mary Meeker's questions, ask the questions are you rowing the same direction?

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For the past year, I have been rowing in the same direction Mark Meeker describes and it is so much easier. Are you ready to change?