Changing the news with Statistics - sports, economics, and politics

One of the fun things I’ve learned over the past years is how journalism and media news works in the technology area.  Working on publishing technologies at Apple and Microsoft I used to focus on low level things like printers, postscript language, fonts (a lot), graphics, color systems, and spoke at conferences back when print publishing was big.  Now, with this blog, working with the GigaOm folks, and a variety of other companies I’ve had an interesting view of how the news becomes the news.

The basis of the news are many times the facts, and many times those facts are in statistics.  I ran across this post on eight cool things journalists should know about statistics.

Nate Silver: Eight cool things journalists should know about statistics

Journalists need to bring science and forecasting into their news coverage, despite the fact that predicting outcomes is viewed as “uncouth” in some newsrooms, statistician Nate Silver told a gathering at the Online News Association conference Friday.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

My favorite are the last two.

7. Insiderism is the enemy of objectivity. Insider information may not be reliable. A journalist whose circle is too tight may forget there is more outside of it. Silver cited forecasts made on the McLaughlin Group that he called as accurate as “monkeys throwing poop at a dartboard.”

8. Making predictions improves accountability. Silver called on journalists to be more empirical in their coverage. But he also said if journalists state what will happen in the future, they need to think such predictions through and not treat forecasting as a game.

Nate Silver who is the source of the above ideas has started an effort to change sports, economics and politics journalism.

Seeking Lead Writers in Sports, Politics and Economics

FiveThirtyEight is conducting a search for lead writers in three of our most important content verticals: sports, politics and economics. 
These are high-profile, full-time positions for people with an outstanding combination of writing and statistical skills. They will principally involve: (i) writing 2-3 feature-length articles per week (typically between 500 words and a few thousand words) and (ii) contributing to long-term FiveThirtyEight projects  that is, assisting in the build-out of our data-driven models and interactive features.
The three principal qualifications for these lead writing positions are as follows:
·         First, candidates must be able to write clearly about complex ideas. Strong prose style and composition represents a major part of the skill set. But we also seek candidates who can display a clear sense of editorial judgment: how to select story ideas, and how to present data-driven content in a way that can be approachable for a smart (but non-specialist) audience.  We strongly prefer candidates who have a demonstrated track record of writing for the broader public.
This may seem hard for a writer, but imagine you have the backing of a data visualization staff.  check out this post.
 
Visual Journalist 

We are looking for one or more Visual Journalists to design and develop graphics, interactive features and web applications for the site. The Visual Journalists will work on a small team in the FiveThirtyEight newsroom in New York City, using information design and web development to help readers explore and understand the data behind the news.
Computational Journalist

FiveThirtyEight is also looking for one or more Computational Journalists to join our data visualization team. Our Computational Journalists will create interactive features, models, and systems that collect, process and present real-time data and predictions about sports, politics, economics, science and lifestyle topics.

Changing Operations with Proximity Sensors, iBeacon

I am spending more time in operations, and playing with some what if ideas.

Apple announced iBeacon and most are focusing on retail and consumer type of experiences.  Here is a Washington Post article with a  few.

How iBeacons could change the world forever

Retailers are likely to place iBeacons such as this one from Shopkick around their stores, in hopes of better connecting with and serving customers. (Courtesy of Shopkick)

Retailers are likely to place iBeacon sensors such as this one from Shopkick around their stores, in hopes of better connecting with and serving customers. (Courtesy of Shopkick)

Apps such as Google Maps and FourSquare have long used location data to try to improve the average person’s mobile experience. But that could be just the tip of the location iceberg as Bluetooth’s latest technology revolutionizes how people interact with everyday objects and places.

The above is about Radius Networks device.

Here is a GigaOm post by Kevin Tofel on Qualcomm’s Gimbal device.

Step aside iBeacon, Qualcomm has low-cost Gimbal Proximity Beacons

DEC. 9, 2013 - 9:02 AM PST

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Project Gimbal
SUMMARY:

Apple’s iBeacon isn’t the only game in town when it comes to Bluetooth Smart proximity devices for retailers. Qualcomm’s Gimbal Proximity Sensor is now available, supporting iOS today and Android in the future. Get ready for a hyper-personal in-store shopping experience.

It is an interesting exercise to think about how operations can be change with proximity sensors.  This is much more interesting than RFID.  Why?  iBeacon is built on Bluetooth 4.0 which is more ubiquitous than RFID readers.  NFC hasn’t really taken off, and with Apple’s iBeacon announcement bluetooth proximity sensors are hot.

 

Peer 1 Hosting Surveys Canada and UK users, 25% planning on moving out of US

DataCenterKnowledge has a post on a Survey and the impact of the NSA scandal.

Survey: NSA Scandal Prompting Shift Away From U.S. Providers

January 8th, 2014By: Jason Verge

 

Here is the press release from Peer 1 Hosting announcing the survey.

PEER 1 Hosting Research Confirms NSA Scandal Has Made UK and Canadian Businesses Wary of Storing Data in the U.S.

Wednesday, January 8th, 2014

25% of businesses are moving data outside of the U.S. as a result of privacy scandals; 96% consider security and 82% consider data privacy their top concerns

Vancouver, British Columbia – January 8, 2013 – A new independent survey of 300 UK and Canadian businesses, commissioned by web infrastructure and cloud hosting provider PEER 1 Hosting, reveals that 25 percent will move their company data outside of the U.S. due to NSA-related privacy and security concerns. Canadian companies are even more likely to relocate data than UK companies, with one in three saying they will move away from U.S. datacenters. Despite this trend, the U.S. remains the most popular place for these companies to host data (51 percent) outside of their home countries.

And the survey results are here.

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With an executive summary.

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One piece of data that got me to believe Peer 1 was talking to the right people is the fact that 80% of the people weren’t surprised of the NSA spying.

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And trouble for those who think it is all about latency.  This survey says users are more worried about security than latency.

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The closing slide has a bunch of quotes.  It is easier to read this if you go to the survey PDF and go to slide 20.

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Isn't it a bit ironic that Cleantech is a dirty word? Analysis of 60 Minutes piece

It wasn’t too long ago that people would proudly say they worked in Cleantech.  Now Cleantech is a dirty word associated with failure.

60 minutes had a piece on Cleantech which focused on the failure part.  I couldn’t put my finger on what bothered me about the 60 minutes video.

Then GigaOm’s Katie Fehrenbacher wrote her analysis of what 60 minutes got right and wrong in their story. 

What 60 Minutes got right and wrong in its story on the “cleantech crash”

 

JAN. 5, 2014 - 6:50 PM PST

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Dogpatch Biofuels
SUMMARY:

60 Minutes just aired one of the more mainstream looks yet at the Silicon Valley cleantech rise and fall. While they got some things right they also got some wrong. My take here.

Katie had the benefit of months of knowing the 60 minutes broadcast was coming out.

Full disclosure, I spoke with the producers of the 60 Minutes piece on background a few times over the past few months as they were putting it together, just to try to help them go in the right direction.

Katie presents her view of what 60 minutes got right and wrong.

Contrary to the reaction of many of my Twitter friends, I think 60 Minutes got some key things right in the story, but they also got a couple of things wrong in there, too — most importantly they’re overlapping the Valley story with the government funding story. Here’s my take on their piece, which — to their credit — is one of the more comprehensive mainstream media looks at what was the VC cleantech phenomenon:

 

Do you think of Trust as a Design Pattern? It changes many things

Sitting around thinking about how to be different than the rest I realized focusing on creating a service where Trust is a design priority changes many things.  Trust is one of those things that is valuable yet hard to develop.

GigaOm has a post on the problem of perceiving trust.

Is it safe to buy that new gadget? Why trust is perceptual computing’s biggest problem

 

4 HOURS AGO

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Hear_speak_see_no_evil_Toshogu
SUMMARY:

This year’s CES is a frustrating affair — so many cool new context-aware toys to play with, and so little reassurance from the manufacturers that their use will stay secure or private.

Thanks to Eric Snowden the issue of trust is a hot topic.

I am really frustrated right now. I look at the slew of awesome announcements coming in from the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, and I keep thinking the same thing: “Nope, because surveillance.” Damn you, Snowden!

...

Security and privacy can no longer be afterthoughts or nice-to-haves — difficult as they are to implement in this age of embedded systems. We the consumers now know the dark flipside to these innovations, and that, manufacturers and app providers, is your problem.

So many free services are built on users not thinking about the trust of watch is being done with the events in your life.

Trust is one of those things that is hard to do and with all the latest technology is more and more valuable.

Who do you trust?  Do you focus on developing more trust?

What would change in your data center with more trust?  What changes in your data center with less trust?